Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,182$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(417 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,583.8}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 41.0)}}\) (asimptote \(6,583.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $483$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(78.8 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{457.3}{1 + 10^{-0.080 (t - 23.4)}}\) (asimptote \(457.3\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,376$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(117 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{334.7}{1 + 10^{-0.102 (t - 15.3)}}\) (asimptote \(334.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(4.05 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.6}{1 + 10^{-0.087 (t - 11.5)}}\) (asimptote \(9.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $863$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(50.7 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,141.1}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 81.1)}}\) (asimptote \(6,141.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(7.69 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34.0}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 20.1)}}\) (asimptote \(34.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $724$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,548$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(416 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,228.0}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(6,228.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $183$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(42.5 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{174.5}{1 + 10^{-0.069 (t - 18.2)}}\) (asimptote \(174.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,186$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,981$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(345 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{15,432.0}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 54.9)}}\) (asimptote \(15,432.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $482$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(46.2 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{593.4}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 33.4)}}\) (asimptote \(593.4\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,612$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,267$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(233 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(14.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,008.0}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 35.6)}}\) (asimptote \(3,008.0\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $108$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(6.51 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{175.4}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 39.0)}}\) (asimptote \(175.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,157$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,026$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(210 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,002.0}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 23.5)}}\) (asimptote \(1,002.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $44$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(12.5 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41.7}{1 + 10^{-0.074 (t - 15.9)}}\) (asimptote \(41.7\))
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $382$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $504$ on 2020-05-07
Best fit exponential: \(8.35 \times 10^{0.036t}\) (doubling rate \(8.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,400.8}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 56.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,400.8\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $8$ on 2020-05-07
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $386$ on 2020-05-07
